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Preprints

Monitoring the economy in real time: trends and gaps in real activity and prices (with T. Hasenzagl, L. Reichlin and G. Ricco).
arXiv, 2022.

Factor-augmented tree ensembles.
arXiv, 2022.

Selecting time-series hyperparameters with the artificial jackknife.
arXiv, 2022.

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published papers

A model of the Fed’s view on inflation (with T. Hasenzagl, L. Reichlin and G. Ricco).
The Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.

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policy publications

The inflation puzzle in the Euro Area: it's the trend not the cycle (with T. Hasenzagl, L. Reichlin and G. Ricco).
VoxEU, CEPR’s policy portal, 2019.
| FT citation

Low inflation for longer (with T. Hasenzagl, L. Reichlin and G. Ricco).
VoxEU, CEPR’s policy portal, 2018.

The US sneezes and the Eurozone catches a cold: The Eurozone has been infected by the US slowdown (with A. Caruso, T. Hasenzagl and L. Reichlin).
VoxEU, CEPR’s policy portal, 2016.

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Open-Source software development

MessyTimeSeries.jl
A Julia implementation of basic tools for time series analysis compatible with incomplete data.

MessyTimeSeriesOptim.jl
A Julia implementation of estimation and validation algorithms for time series compatible with incomplete data.

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